What the Guidance Really Says About Cardiovascular Risk
Treatment decisions in the UK are made on overall risk rather than on any single number, which is why identical cholesterol can produce different advice.
Key takeaways
- Risk tool used in the UK: QRISK
- Inputs: age, sex, blood pressure, smoking, diabetes, ethnicity, family history, cholesterol
- Most useful single change: Ask what your ten-year risk score is, not just your readings.
- Commonest mistake: Focusing on one number in isolation.
- See a doctor if any of the signs under "When to speak to a doctor" below apply to you.
What it is
An estimate of your chance of a heart attack or stroke over the next ten years. It sits within Heart Health. Here are the numbers, taken from the guidance cited at the end.
The numbers, in one place
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Risk tool used in the UK | QRISK |
| Inputs | age, sex, blood pressure, smoking, diabetes, ethnicity, family history, cholesterol |
| NICE threshold to offer a statin | 10 per cent ten-year risk |
| NHS Health Check, England | ages 40-74, every 5 years |
| Largest single modifiable factor for most people | smoking |
What helps
Here is what the evidence supports doing. Some of it will already be familiar.
- Ask what your ten-year risk score is, not just your readings
- Accept the NHS Health Check invitation when it arrives
- Tackle smoking first if you smoke; nothing else comes close
- Treat blood pressure, cholesterol and activity as one package
What to avoid
These come up often, and several of them sound like good ideas.
- Focusing on one number in isolation
- Assuming a normal weight means low risk
- Delaying a check because you feel well; risk is silent
Where to go next
- A Working Checklist for Cardiovascular Risk
- Myths About Cardiovascular Risk, Checked Against the Guidance
- Cardiovascular Risk — the reference entry
- Smoking and the Heart: What Published Guidance Supports
- The Evidence on Alcohol and the Heart, Without the Hype
When to speak to a doctor
Call 999 for chest pain or tightness lasting more than a few minutes, sudden weakness or numbness on one side, facial drooping, or difficulty speaking. Use the FAST test for stroke: Face, Arms, Speech, Time to call 999. Never drive yourself to hospital.
Where this comes from
How this page was put together
Every figure, recommendation and warning above is taken from the guidance named in Where this comes from. Nothing on this page is inferred, summarised or generalised beyond what those bodies publish: where they give a number, it is their number, and where they are silent, so are we. Pages are rebuilt whenever the underlying record changes. Sign-off by a named clinician, where it has happened, is shown at the top of the page along with the date.
Medical disclaimer
This article is general information, not medical advice. It cannot account for your own history, medication or circumstances. Always speak to a GP, pharmacist or another qualified health professional before making changes that affect your treatment, and never delay seeking medical advice because of something you have read here. In an emergency, call 999.
Spotted something wrong? Report an error on this page. We correct on the page and say what changed.